Thanks to Tarsier for starting this. Let me start by saying that while I am unapologetic about sharing in the 3-way here, this was his solo. But I learned on the forum that you don't pass up opportunity when it is offered and that given all the variables that enter into the decisions people make in Diplomacy, any win is well deserved.
For those who are interested, here are a couple elements I see in many AARs that were left out from the beginning:
The PlayersBRITIAN -- The SHIV
FRANCE -- pinta (3way DRAW)
ITALY -- I Love Italy
GERMANY -- bindlestiff
AUSTRIA -- Hotel Echo
TURKEY -- Tarsier (3way DRAW)
RUSSIA -- edmgrim (3way DRAW)
Here's the complete gameA little backgroundThe Shiv "sponsored" this game and I was the last to join. I had been watching it (and his posts in the forum) for a while and felt myself too inexperienced to join into a fray with what I expected to be a game filled with high-caliber players well beyond my abilities. The SHIV was gracious enough to encourage me to join in. He might have been thinking, "easy picking for him" at the time. It turns out he could not have been more mistaken. But to be fair, Carebear, WHSeward, JonS, or any of the real legends on this board would not have stood a chance with the odds that were stacked against him here. Who says there is no luck in Diplomacy? The SHIV walked into a huge pile of the worst kind of luck from the first message that was sent. I'll get into that more later.
I'll try to mix my own thought process with responses to Tarsier's thoughts here.
1901SPRINGI have decided that one of my biggest weaknesses here is that I am too anxious to initiate conversation and forward my agenda. I am determined to wait for others to reach out to me first. So I (try) to wait.
Italy and Turkey oblige me and send greetings.We exchange niceties, but little of substance. Turkey seems pretty excited about the idea of a Juggernautbut and while I am not entirely opposed, I am a little hesitant.
A day goes by and I have not heard from anyone else. Sorry, I just can't keep waiting. I reach out.
Germany and I really hit it off. We have similar styles of communicating (at least that's what I think) we inject asides of culinary and cultural stereotype, along with some tongue-in-cheek humor, into our discussions. I really like Germany and hope we will have a long and fruitful relationship. It is a hope destined for disappointment.
England joins in next and we exchange fairly straightforward plans. I am still peppering my communications with asides, but England is having none of that.
I have also sent out salutations to France and Austria, but so far, nothing much is coming from them. France, I sort of understand. But Austria has me worried already.
On day three (maybe two-and-a-half) I am finally starting to get some messages with meat from France.
Austria finally chimes in but it is already too late. While I will negotiate with him, I am convinced his delinquency is because he is working with one (or more) of my other neighbors to undermine me. I have already decided that he has to be the first of my neighbors to go. Nevertheless, I undermine myself right from the start by convincing Austria to bounce in Galicia just before a message rolls in from Turkey or Italy (can't remember which) that half-way has me wishing I had not proposed the bounce.
-- I finally hear from France and he informs me of his cordial relations with Germany. I don't remember who brings it up first,but one of them asks me what I think of sea lions. They are one of my favorite sea mammals, but I do not recognize the term in the context of Diplomacy....yet.
When deadline rolls around, I am delighted that EVERYONE is asking me to do EXACTLY what I want to do anyway in Spring.
FallIn the south, Turkey and I are very worried at what we think is a coordinated attempt at misdirection by Italy and Austria. But there is something in Turkey's messages that tells me that he might actually be the mastermind behind all this. I am worried that Turkey and Austria are going to cooperate to kick me out of Rumania and not just a little concerned that Sweden might be blocked too. Both concerns are unwarranted and I half-way kick myself for negotiating the bounce.
1902England is under no misconceptions that he is under siege. I half-heartedly sympathize.
Germany and I are getting on swimmingly! I remain wary of Turkey and I am not really sure about France. I'm friendly with Italy; neither of us trust Turkey though and that is our common bond.
I offer Austria my help to repel Italy. Meanwhile, I also negotiate with Italy to let me help Austria in return for setting us up for a combined assault on Turkey. And Turkey is already on board with eliminating Austria.
Meanwhile, Germany and I are still exchanging gastronomic fantasies and celebrating what we hope will be a lasting friendship.
I stab Austria and he actually thanks me for my "help" against Italy. And then I complete my stab in the fall and Austria is still magnanimous. I draft this message in my game notes:
This was a hard one for me. And believe it or not, it was not done out of desire to do you harm but more as a hedge against a mistake I made up in Norway. There is a certain irony in that I attacked Vienna out of fear that Germany would take Sweden.
Things are a mess in The Balkans and the harsh reality down there is that Austria and Italy were from day 1 (and still are) united in wanting to take you out with authority. If I would have opposed their wishes, you would still be destroyed and I would have become their that much more vulnerable target. That is not to say that they do not have me in their sights anyway.
England is not as forgiving. And despite the fact that France and Germany were the architects of his destruction, he sets his sights on destroying me in the public press. I privately tell Germany how incensed I am at his slander!
1903I just don't know how long my luck will hold out! I am still doing exactly what I want and everyone is still with it! But I know that I am going to need to get off the pot soon. I decide to test the waters in the south and raise Turkey's hair with a second fleet.To be honest, I am not thinking stab. I am just trying not to raise concerns in the north. While negotiations with Germany are still great, I don't trust France. I think he is plotting with Germany already to come against me, but if I can get them to stay relaxed a little longer, I will be better prepared to repel them. It's a misdirection, but Turkey wants nothing to do with that.
Meanwhile:
Tarsier wrote:I started out this game with a sense of trust in Russia. Since I suspected he was not The SHIV...
I'm convinced that Turkey is The Shiv since I have noticed that messages fromTurkey to me oddly coincide with public posts by The Shiv in the forum (not necessarily public press).
Nevertheless, Turkey convinces me to give up my fleet and turn my attentions to the north. With Italy becoming a minor problem for Turkey down south, I am happy to comply. Meanwhile, I am feeding Italy intelligence and thin cooperation.
1904I'm becoming more convinced that it is going to be Germany-France vs Turkey-Russia. But what I want is a Russia-Germany partnership. I make my move up North without informing Germany and he is livid. I beseech him to work with me to take on France and offer assurances that I will sail past his borders on the east side of England if he will work with me. He wants nothing to do with it.
France tries to take my temperature and I tell him in no uncertain terms that
I will not stab Germany unless he does so first.. Germany takes matters out of my hands by returning the threat I pose to his coastlines with his own to my inland.
I continue to try to negotiate with Germany, but he is steadfast. He promises to roll over to France.So I reach out to France and offer him intelligence in the south in return for equitable distribution of the Kaiser's lands.
I know France does not like or trust me, but we are wary partners for now.
Meanwhile, in the south, Italy is in dire straits also. I broker a deal with him and Turkey (or at least, it seems to me that I am playing a role in this) to make peace so they can hold off France. I'm also feeding France some mildly misleading intelligence.
Life is still good for me....
1905 - 1906Things start to fall apart. Turkey has an opportunity to deal a crushing blow to Italy but I convince him to keep pushing West. I argue that doing so will keep Italy docile and that the following year will leave him ripe for destruction while we have a more solid western front. My real objective is that I want Turkey to spread himself too thin. Turkey "reluctantly"goes along. In retrospect, I think he saw the fallacy in my thinking.
The following year, I see it. Turkey is perfectly poised to stab the shit out of me...and it is my own fault. Still, I am enjoying my own success crossing the mainland. It is becoming clear to me that it is going to come down to me or Turkey.
I try to do some damage control before the damage happens by reaching out to Italy. I think I ended p doing the damage instead. I tell Italy that Turkey is out to destroy him. I offer to keep him around if he is willing to cooperate with me. Italy chooses to allow Turkey to slowly destroy him instead of helping me. I'm mildly surprised as I had thought throughout the game that Italy and I were of the same mind that we preferred each other over Turkey if push came to shove. Maybe he thought I was arrogant...it wouldn't be the first time someone thought that.
Anyway, I decide to trust Italy to help me and stab France. The wheels fall off the bus as Turkey stabs me. Now I have a two-front war and no friends.
1907 - 1908I see the Turkish solo and reach out to France, letting him know that the only hope to stop him is if we cooperate. He wants nothing to do with it. We are so preoccupied with each other that we can't do anything to stop Turkey...at least we are slowing him, though. I choose to destroy all my retreats for the purpose of regrouping instead of holding an untenable line.
1909France finally agrees to work with me. We have a good year and there is hope we can turn Turkey back.
1910What happened in The North Sea notwithstanding, I screw up royally. I promise not to attack Munich because I will already have two builds without it. Then I forget to change my orders and Munich falls. I am profuse in my apologies, doing it publicly, privately, and every other way I can. I'm not sure France believes me, but when he does not build in Marseilles, I know it is over.
1911 and beyondWe put up the good fight and then life happens for one of us. Turkey takes the high road and chooses to offer a premature end to the game. It was a well fought campaign and I feel that I am a better player for having been here.
ConclusionCongratulations to all. I truly enjoyed interacting with you all and even in animosity, I still felt a closeness with you that I rarely experience so uniformly in a Diplomacy game. I'm going to be stepping away from the board for a while when my other game ends. But I doubt it will be a long absence...Diplomacy has a way of dragging you back in just as much as it can jade. I look forward to sharing a board with you all again when I return.